Stats prove how Liverpool facing Champions League exit after 0-0 home draw against Bayern Munich

By | 20th February 2019

LIVERPOOL boss Jurgen Klopp and his players stayed on the front foot after their Champions League draw with Bayern Munich.

But the big numbers say the tie is now weighted firmly in the direction of the German club.

Liverpool missed a number of chances as they drew 0-0 against Bayern Munich
PA:Press Association

Conventional wisdom suggests that, if you are not going to win the first leg on home soil, a goalless draw is the next best alternative.

The argument is sound as well – any goals scored away from home have an extra impact under the away goals rule, so if Liverpool score a draw over either 90 or 120 minutes will take them through to the next round.

All well and good in theory. In practice, however, the stats suggest a different response.

Since the Champions League was introduced as the successor to the old European Cup, there have been 31 goalless first legs.

The Reds had a total of 15 shots on goal against the Bundesliga side, but couldn’t find a breakthrough
AFP or licensors
The stats make grim reading for Liverpool fans in their hopes of reaching the quarter-finals
PA:Empics Sport

But the side that played at home in the first game has only advanced on nine occasions. The initial away team has gone through 22 times.

And the balance has deepened even more since 2003-04 when the last 16 stage was introduced as the replacement for the old second group stage.

There have been 22 goalless first games in that period, with 17 of the 22 sides who played away first making it through.

In addition – and, of course, that includes sides who lost – only 14 of the 70 teams (seven out of 51 since 2003-04) who failed to score at home have progressed.


And Bayern will be equally cheered by the fact that 58 of the 81 clubs who have drawn away – 44 out of 60 since 2003-04 – have made it to the next round.

Liverpool will travel to Bavaria believing they can beat the odds and history.

It is far from an impossible task.

But the past indicates it is less than the 50-50 tie it might seem from the 90 minutes at Anfield.

This post written by Jake Lambourne originally appeared on Football news - transfers, fixtures, scores, pictures | The Sun. Read the full post here.

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